MX23RW : Monday, April 29 10:14:13| >> :60:1595:1595:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Sao Paulo

Tigre
0 - 2
Sao Paulo


Castro (14'), Luciatti (20'), Armoa (81'), Molinas (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erison (57', 74')
Rato (8'), Nestor (24'), Rafinha (73'), Beraldo (88')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Tigre and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 0-4 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawSao Paulo
33.94% (0.135 0.13) 27.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 39% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.49% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.2% (-0.061 -0.06)54.8% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)76.11% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)30.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.66% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.116 -0.12)27.4% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-0.153 -0.15)62.87% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 33.94%
    Sao Paulo 39%
    Draw 27.06%
TigreDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39%

How you voted: Tigre vs Sao Paulo

Tigre
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Sao Paulo
61.5%
13
rhs 2.0
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