World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Niger
2 - 1
Zambia

Moutari (6'), Goumey (28')
Moumouni (37'), Massoudi (39'), Djibrilla (74'), Moutari (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Daka (50')
Sakala (55'), Sunzu (67'), Banda (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Niger and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Zambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 4-2 Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Niger did not disgrace themselves against Tanzania last time out, but another home clash against an in-form Zambia side will be a much sterner test. The Copper Bullets look as if they could cause the majority of nations problems in CAF with the strike partnership of Daka and Sakala, meaning we expect the visitors to take maximum points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Niger	Draw	Zambia
21.61% ( -0.16)	28.13% ( -0.02)	50.26% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.74% (

-0.04)

64.26% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.63% (

-0.03)

83.37% (

0.03)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07% (

-0.19)

45.93% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.34% (

-0.15)

81.66% (

0.15)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

0.07)

25.98% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

0.09)

61% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Niger 21.61%

Zambia 50.25%

Draw 28.13%

Niger	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.61%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 16.08% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.25%