La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
1 - 1
Alaves

Cardona (71')
Gonzalez (74'), Moleiro (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vicente (50')
Hagi (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 0-1 Alaves

Despite winning the reverse fixture 1-0, Las Palmas' inability to find the net consistently could count against them on Sunday, with the hosts failing to score in four of their last five matches in front of their fans. Alaves, on the other hand, have netted in their last six visits to Gran Canaria and have claimed maximum points in four of their last six road games, possibly pointing to a fifth win in seven on their travels to close out the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Alaves
44.99% ( 0.46)	26.54% ( -0.16)	28.47% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49% (

0.46)

54.51% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

0.38)

75.86% (

-0.38)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

0.43)

24.13% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

0.6)

58.44% (

-0.61)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81% (

0.01)

34.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12% (

0.01)

70.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 44.98%

Alaves 28.47%

Draw 26.53%

Las Palmas	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.47%