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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard

Independiente
0 - 0
Instituto


Canelo (25'), Rey (90+5'), Perez (90+8')
FT

Corda (45+4'), Lodico (45+6'), Alarcon (54'), Franco (60')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Independiente
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 3-1 Colon
Thursday, September 21 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawInstituto
51.17% (-0.158 -0.16) 28.46% (0.244 0.24) 20.37% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 37.97% (-0.614 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.88% (-0.739 -0.74)66.12% (0.74000000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.33% (-0.509 -0.51)84.67% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)26.41% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.565 -0.56)61.57% (0.566 0.57)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.6% (-0.537 -0.54)48.4% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.48% (-0.394 -0.39)83.52% (0.39500000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 51.16%
    Instituto 20.37%
    Draw 28.45%
IndependienteDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 17.01% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 51.16%
0-0 @ 12.78% (0.35 0.35)
1-1 @ 12.35%
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.37%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Independiente
2-2
Instituto
Cauteruccio (15' pen., 32')
Martinez (38'), Linares (66')
rhs 2.0
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