Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
3 - 2
Freiburg

Dinkci (52'), Kleindienst (84'), Ginter (90+2' og.)
Schoppner (33'), Fohrenbach (37'), Gimber (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Holer (7', 64' pen.)
Gulde (5'), Sildillia (36'), Rohl (60'), Hofler (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Both sides should head into this contest with plenty of confidence having put together winning runs. While Heidenheim still have plenty of work to do to secure safety, they are well ahead of schedule in that regard. Freiburg, meanwhile, have moved back into the Europa League qualification places and will be determined to stay there during Christmas and the New Year. We expect them to gain a narrow victory on Wednesday to ensure that is the case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Freiburg
50.27% ( 0.12)	23.7% ( 0.04)	26.03% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.03% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.3)

44.31% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-0.29)

66.68% (

0.29)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

-0.07)

17.7% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

-0.12)

48.35% (

0.12)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-0.28)

30.7% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-0.33)

66.95% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 50.27%

Freiburg 26.03%

Draw 23.7%

Heidenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.03%