Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel5 - 2Winterthur
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
We said: Basel 2-1 FC Winterthur
Basel have been largely underwhelming at home of late, but Sunday's clash represents a fantastic chance for them to turn their fortunes around. We are backing the hosts to just about get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
54.22% ( -1.25) | 23.49% ( 0.47) | 22.3% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
