MX23RW : Monday, May 6 22:07:39| >> :60:79:79:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas
1 - 2
Racing

Otero (90+4')
Caicedo (38'), Rezabala (79'), Vega (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reniero (2'), Rojas (69')
Rojas (31'), Cardona (32'), Sigali (45'), Oroz (62'), Ignacio Nardoni (76'), Insua (78')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Aucas and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nublense 2-1 Aucas
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Platense 3-0 Racing
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
AucasDrawRacing Club
29.78% (-0.198 -0.2) 26.87% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 43.35% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.351 -0.35)55.19% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.29 -0.29)76.42% (0.286 0.29)
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (-0.331 -0.33)33.55% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-0.364 -0.36)70.19% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)25.25% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (-0.128 -0.13)60% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aucas 29.78%
    Racing Club 43.34%
    Draw 26.87%
AucasDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.78%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.34%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Racing
3-2
Aucas
Romero (12'), Ignacio Nardoni (17'), Angel (86' og.)
Gomez (20'), Gago (21'), Ignacio Nardoni (25'), Hauche (63')
Moralez (78')
Castillo (48'), Canga (56')
David (70'), Gago (76'), Quinonez (81'), Perlaza (90+1')
David (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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