Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.

Result
Ashdod	Draw	Hapoel Petah Tikva
38.93% ( -0.08)	27.97% ( -0.05)	33.1% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.62% (

0.22)

58.38% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.01% (

0.17)

78.99% (

-0.17)

Ashdod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85% (

0.06)

29.15% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92% (

0.08)

65.08% (

-0.08)

Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

0.2)

32.84% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.23)

69.4% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Ashdod 38.92%

Hapoel Petah Tikva 33.1%

Draw 27.97%

Ashdod	Draw	Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.92%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.1%