J1 League | Gameweek 15

May 6, 2025 at 6am UK

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Ando (2'), Ando (2'), Miki (32'), Miki (32'), Shichi (69'), Shichi (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ceara (43' pen., 43' pen.)
Chinen (71'), Chinen (71'), Anzai (90+4'), Anzai (90+4')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 3 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashima Antlers
32.3% ( -0.06)	28.62% ( 0.02)	39.08% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.56% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.19% (

-0.1)

60.8% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.15% (

-0.07)

80.84% (

0.07)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32% (

-0.09)

34.67% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.1)

71.39% (

0.09)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.03)

30.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

-0.03)

66.42% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 32.29%

Kashima Antlers 39.08%

Draw 28.61%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.08%