Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 10, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
NAC Breda

Sierhuis (30')
Mitrovic (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sowah (45+2'), Greiml (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Sittard
Saturday, May 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-3 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, May 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NAC Breda
56.97% ( 0.58)	22.85% ( -0.18)	20.18% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

0.25)

46.88% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

0.23)

69.13% (

-0.23)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

0.29)

16.22% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

0.52)

45.73% (

-0.52)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.63% (

-0.26)

37.38% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-0.26)

74.16% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 56.95%

NAC Breda 20.18%

Draw 22.85%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	NAC Breda
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.95%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.85%	0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.18%