Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.