Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Ajax
Apr 6, 2025 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
NAC Breda
  • Kenneth Taylor 32' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 35' goal
  • Jorthy Mokio 69' yellowcard
  • Jorthy Mokio 76' goal
  • goal Leo Sauer 9'
  • yellowcard Roy Kortsmit 31'
  • yellowcard Clint Leemans 62'
  • yellowcard Leo Greiml 62'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 72'
  • yellowcard Kamal Sowah 87'

Ajax vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
PSV 0 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.30pm
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Elias Mar Omarsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 75.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 14.92% ▲ (+0.10)
NAC Breda 9.37% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% ▼ (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.28% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 33.72% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 3.5 44.46% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 3.5 55.54% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 4.5 25.83% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 4.5 74.17% ▲ (+1.06)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 92.58% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 7.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 73.28% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 1.5 26.72% ▲ (+0.61)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 55.62% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 0.5 44.38% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 1.5 19.56% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 80.44% ▲ (+0.90)

Score analysis

Ajax 75.71%
Draw 14.92%
NAC Breda 9.37%
Ajax
2-0 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.36)
3-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 75.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.92%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 9.37%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 2
NAC Breda
Aug 18, 2024 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Ajax
  • Matthew Garbett 58' goal
  • Jan Van den Bergh 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jorrel Hato 63'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 90'+7'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Ajax
Feb 17, 2019 11.15am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
NAC Breda
  • Dusan Tadic 38' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 53' goal
  • Gervane Kastaneer 59' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 65' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 67' goal
  • Erik Palmer-Brown 71' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Nijholt 36'
  • yellowcard Dorian Dervite 38'
  • yellowcard Menno Koch 91'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
NAC Breda
Nov 24, 2018 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Ajax
  • Daan Klomp 38' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 41' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Nijholt 67' yellowcard
  • Mitchell te Vrede 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jethro Mashart 40' (OG)
  • goal Zakaria Labyad 54'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Labyad 67'
  • goal Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 93'
Eredivisie
Ajax
Feb 4, 2018 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
NAC Breda
  • Donny van de Beek 25' goal
  • David Neres 39' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 56' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 93' goal
  • goal Thierry Ambrose 6'
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 21'
  • yellowcard Bart Meijers 29'
  • yellowcard Thierry Ambrose 42'
  • redcard Bart Meijers 92'
Eredivisie
NAC Breda
Nov 18, 2017 7.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Ajax
  • Angelino 32' yellowcard
  • goal Matthijs de Ligt 13'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 18'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 26'
  • goal David Neres 29'
  • goal Matthijs de Ligt 33'
  • goal Lasse Schone 66'
  • goal Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 73'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 75'
Eredivisie
Ajax
Apr 19, 2015 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NAC Breda
  • yellowcard Jelle ten Rouwelaar 70'
  • redcard Gill Swerts 91'

Form Data

PSV 0 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 AZ
Frankfurt 4 - 1 Ajax
PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 2 Frankfurt
Almere City 0 - 1 Ajax
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Groningen
Almere City 1 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Sparta
Utrecht 1 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 0 Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk 5 - 0 NAC Breda