Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 24, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
NAC Breda

Meerdink (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sauer (75')
Kemper (68'), Bielica (90+6'), Janosek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles (2-4 pen.)
Monday, April 21 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NAC Breda
74.32% ( -0.6)	15.68% ( 0.36)	10.01% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.55% (

-1.02)

35.45% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.51% (

-1.14)

57.49% (

1.14)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.88% (

-0.37)

8.12% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.5% (

-0.94)

28.5% (

0.94)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.67% (

-0.23)

44.32% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.61% (

-0.19)

80.39% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 74.31%

NAC Breda 10.01%

Draw 15.68%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NAC Breda
2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 74.31%	1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.68%	1-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.01%