Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%).