Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%).

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
57.85% ( -0.35)	20.62% ( 0.08)	21.53% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 62.38% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21% (

-0.02)

34.78% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.25% (

-0.02)

56.75% (

0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0.11)

11.93% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.71% (

-0.22)

37.29% (

0.21)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.22)

29.17% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.27)

65.1% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 57.85%

Go Ahead Eagles 21.53%

Draw 20.62%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.53%