MX23RW : Monday, May 12 22:09:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Willem II

Sittard
1 - 0
Willem II

Bullaude (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, April 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Willem II

Fortuna Sittard seem to be limping towards the end of the season after showing plenty of promise, while Willem II showed positive signs in their eventual defeat to Ajax, but we still back the hosts to get past a visiting side who are winless in 12 games and have shown their inability to get over the line in tight games in recent months. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawWillem II
51.44% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 24.07% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.131 -0.13)47.27% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.121 -0.12)69.49% (0.123 0.12)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.38% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)49.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.154 -0.15)33.54% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-0.167 -0.17)70.18% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 51.44%
    Willem II 24.49%
    Draw 24.06%
Fortuna SittardDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.49%

How you voted: Sittard vs Willem II

Fortuna Sittard
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Willem II
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 9
Willem II
0-0
Sittard
Didillon (37')
Guth (29')
Mar 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 23
Sittard
1-0
Willem II
Flemming (52')
Tirpan (49'), Seuntjens (66'), Cox (86'), Angha (90+1'), Siovas (90+5')

Crowley (20')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Willem II
1-1
Sittard
Kohlert (59')
Wellenreuther (55'), Grim (69')
Noslin (54')
Angha (45'), Seuntjens (75')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Willem II
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (45'), Holmen (67')
Llonch (39'), Pavlidis (57')
Flemming (48')
Flemming (45+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sittard
3-2
Willem II
Semedo (9'), Polter (29' pen.), Flemming (44')
Rota (33')
Pavlidis (66'), Van der Heijden (87')
Heerkens (63'), Llonch (75')
Llonch (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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