Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
Willem II

Bullaude (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, April 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
51.44% ( 0.09)	24.07% ( 0.01)	24.49% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.13)

47.27% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.12)

69.49% (

0.12)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

-0.01)

18.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.49% (

-0.03)

49.51% (

0.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-0.15)

33.54% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

-0.17)

70.18% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 51.44%

Willem II 24.49%

Draw 24.06%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.49%