Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Ezequiel Bullaude 62' goal

Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.30pm
Sittard 0 - 2 Feyenoord
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Kristoffer Peterson

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 3.45pm
Willem II 1 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jesse Bosch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.

Result

Fortuna Sittard 51.44% (+0.10)
Draw 24.07% (+0.02)
Willem II 24.49% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.25% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.73% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 47.27% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 30.51% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.49% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.02% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.98% (+0.09)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 81.62% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.38% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.51% (+0.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 66.46% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 33.54% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 29.82% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 70.18% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Fortuna Sittard 51.44%
Draw 24.06%
Willem II 24.49%
Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 10.44% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.06%
Willem II
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.49%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Thomas Didillon 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 29'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2022 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mickael Tirpan 49' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 52' goal
  • Mats Seuntjens 66' yellowcard
  • George Cox 86' yellowcard
  • Martin Angha 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Siovas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Timon Wellenreuther 55' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 59' goal
  • Fred Grim 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Angha 45'
  • goal Tijanni Noslin 54'
  • yellowcard Mats Seuntjens 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pol Llonch 39' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 45' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 57' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Holmen 67' goal
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 45'+2'
  • goal Zian Flemming 48'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Lisandro Semedo 9' goal
  • Sebastian Polter 29' goal
  • Lazaros Rota 33' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 44' goal
  • yellowcard Freek Heerkens 63'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 66'
  • yellowcard Pol Llonch 75'
  • goal Jan-Arie van der Heijden 87'
  • redcard Pol Llonch 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
  • yellowcard George Cox 43'