/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Jens Mathijsen
8'
-
Emilio Kehrer
41'
-
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
74'
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Wout Weghorst
78'
Willem II vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fkyan-vaesen.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Willem II
16.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
20.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Ajax
63.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
55.35%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.15%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
39.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
37.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
20.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
79.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
62.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
37.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
26.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
73.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
88.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
11.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
62.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
37.41%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Willem II
16.68%
Draw
20.03%
Ajax
63.28%
Willem II
2-1
@
4.64%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 16.68%
1-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 16.68%
Draw
1-1
@
9.35%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.03%
2-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.03%
Ajax
0-2
@
10.01%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-5 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 63.28%
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-5 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 63.28%