AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
NEC
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
PSV
PSV
Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

PSV
4 - 1
Sittard

Perisic (15', 40', 73'), Lang (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dahlhaus (64')
Sierhuis (68'), Dahlhaus (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, April 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
79.7% (-1.32 -1.32)11.88% (0.456 0.46)8.42% (0.866 0.87)
Both teams to score 61.6% (2.622 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.53% (0.956 0.96)20.47% (-0.953 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.24% (1.341 1.34)38.76% (-1.339 -1.34)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.99% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)4.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (2.737 2.74)35.82% (-2.734 -2.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (2.709 2.71)72.6% (-2.707 -2.71)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 79.7%
    Fortuna Sittard 8.42%
    Draw 11.88%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
3-1 @ 8.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.97% (-0.608 -0.61)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.564 -0.56)
4-1 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 6.4% (-0.491 -0.49)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
5-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.304 0.3)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-2 @ 3.38% (0.243 0.24)
6-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.21% (-0.171 -0.17)
5-2 @ 2.17% (0.156 0.16)
6-2 @ 1.16% (0.083 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.16% (0.16 0.16)
7-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 79.7%
1-1 @ 4.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.285 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 1.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 11.88%
1-2 @ 2.44% (0.178 0.18)
0-1 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 8.42%

How you voted: PSV vs Sittard

PSV Eindhoven
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Fortuna Sittard
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sittard
1-3
PSV
Bullaude (32')
Rosier (7'), Erceg (70'), Adewoye (79')
Tillman (16', 68'), De Jong (72')
Tillman (78')
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sittard
1-1
PSV
Cordoba (27')
Siovas (63'), Vita (82')
Schouten (72')
Oct 21, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
PSV
3-1
Sittard
Til (19'), Ramalho (55'), Bakayoko (78')
Sierhuis (90+4' pen.)
Ozyakup (70')
May 14, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
PSV
2-1
Sittard
De Jong (25'), Simons (82')
Gladon (4')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sittard
2-2
PSV
Cordoba (45+1'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Simons (65'), Sangare (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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