Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 3, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Ivan Perisic 15' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 40' goal
  • Noa Lang 57' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 73' goal
  • goal Jasper Dahlhaus 64'
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 68'
  • yellowcard Jasper Dahlhaus 83'

PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 8.00pm
FC Twente 1 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 11.15am
Sittard 1 - 0 Willem II
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Kristoffer Peterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 79.7% (-1.33)
Draw 11.88% (+0.46)
Fortuna Sittard 8.42% (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.6% (+2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.53% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 20.47% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 61.24% (+1.35)
Under 3.5 38.76% (-1.34)
Over 4.5 41.84% (+1.41)
Under 4.5 58.16% (-1.41)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 95.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 4.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 83.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.92% (+0.02)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 64.18% (+2.74)
Under 0.5 35.82% (-2.74)
Over 1.5 27.41% (+2.71)
Under 1.5 72.6% (-2.71)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 79.7%
Draw 11.88%
Fortuna Sittard 8.42%
PSV Eindhoven
3-1 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.97% (-0.61)
2-1 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.57)
4-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.4% (-0.50)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.35)
5-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.2% (+0.31)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.32)
4-2 @ 3.38% (+0.25)
6-1 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.21% (-0.18)
5-2 @ 2.17% (+0.16)
6-2 @ 1.16% (+0.09)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-98.35)
7-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.01% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 79.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 1.44% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 11.88%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 2.44% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 8.42%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 3.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Loreintz Rosier 7' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bullaude 32' goal
  • Ante Erceg 70' yellowcard
  • Shawn Adewoye 79' yellowcard
  • goal Malik Tillman 16'
  • goal Malik Tillman 68'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 72'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Inigo Cordoba 27' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 63' yellowcard
  • Remi Vita 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jerdy Schouten 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Guus Til 19' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 55' goal
  • Johan Bakayoko 78' goal
  • yellowcard Oguzhan Ozyakup 70'
  • goal Kaj Sierhuis 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luuk de Jong 25' goal
  • Xavi Simons 82' goal
  • goal Paul Gladon 4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Inigo Cordoba 45'+1' goal
  • Burak Yilmaz 90'+9' goal
  • goal Xavi Simons 65'
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 76'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2022 3.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Philipp Max 10' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 39' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 41' goal
  • Bruma 77' goal
  • Carlos Vinicius 82' goal