Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 3, 2025 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 1
Sittard

Perisic (15', 40', 73'), Lang (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dahlhaus (64')
Sierhuis (68'), Dahlhaus (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 1-3 PSV
Thursday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, April 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
79.7% ( -1.32)	11.88% ( 0.46)	8.42% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 61.6% (

2.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.53% (

0.96)

20.47% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.24% (

1.34)

38.76% (

-1.34)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.99% (

-0)

4.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.08% (

-0.02)

16.92% (

0.02)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

2.74)

35.82% (

-2.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

2.71)

72.6% (

-2.71)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 79.7%

Fortuna Sittard 8.42%

Draw 11.88%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
3-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.35) 5-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.3) 5-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.24) 6-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.17) 5-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.16) 6-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.16) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.96% Total : 79.7%	1-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.34% Total : 11.88%	1-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.17% Total : 8.42%