Madagascar national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal de Mahamasina

Madagascar
1 - 1
Eswatini

Rafanomezantsoa (41')
Gilles Razafimaro (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's COSAFA Cup clash between Madagascar and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 Ghana
Monday, March 24 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Tanzania vs. Madagascar
Saturday, June 7 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 3-3 Mauritius
Sunday, March 23 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eswatini win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Madagascar has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Madagascar win is 1-0 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.47%).

Result
MadagascarDrawEswatini
31.33% (1.861 1.86)30.49% (-0.641 -0.64)38.17% (-1.22 -1.22)
Both teams to score 40.47% (2.021 2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.11% (2.142 2.14)66.88% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.81% (1.421 1.42)85.19% (-1.422 -1.42)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (2.712 2.71)38.72% (-2.714 -2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (2.482 2.48)75.46% (-2.482 -2.48)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (0.39099999999999 0.39)33.95% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (0.42 0.42)70.63% (-0.419 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 31.33%
    Eswatini 38.17%
    Draw 30.48%
MadagascarDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.394 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.288 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 13.14% (-1.09 -1.09)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.298 0.3)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.48%
0-1 @ 14.2% (-1 -1)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-0.457 -0.46)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.17%

rhs 2.0


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