World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2025 at 1pm UK

Mbombela Stadium

Eswatini
3 - 3
Mauritius

Mkhontfo (13', 18'), Mabuza (75')
Dlamini (22'), Mamba (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rose (47'), Aristide (50'), Vincent (90+1')
Rose (15'), Latouchent (55')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Mauritius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Cameroon
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mauritius

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritius
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Mauritius
46.34% ( -0.04)	28.9% ( 0.02)	24.75% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 41.08% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.51% (

-0.03)

64.49% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.47% (

-0.02)

83.53% (

0.02)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.03)

28.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

-0.04)

63.69% (

0.04)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.08% (

42.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.78%

79.22%

Score Analysis

Eswatini 46.34%

Mauritius 24.75%

Draw 28.9%

Eswatini	Draw	Mauritius
1-0 @ 15.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 46.34%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 24.75%