International Friendlies
Nov 19, 2024 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sham Shui Po Sports Ground
  • Everton Camargo 11' goal
  • Fernando 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Pascal Colin 38'
  • redcard Jean Pascal Colin 42'
  • yellowcard Jason Ferre 63'

Hong Kong vs Mauritius - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 12.00pm
Hong Kong 3 - 1 Philippines

Mauritius

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 1.00am
Mauritius 0 - 2 Syria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hong Kong in this match.

Result

Hong Kong 66.33% ▼ (-1.42)
Draw 20.96% ▲ (+0.52)
Mauritius 12.71% ▲ (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51% ▲ (+1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 85.19% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 0.5 14.81% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 56.9% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 43.1% ▲ (+0.88)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5 49.91% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 0.5 50.09% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 1.5 15.28% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 1.5 84.72% ▼ (-1.03)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 66.32%
Draw 20.96%
Mauritius 12.71%
Hong Kong
1-0 @ 14.16% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 13.53% ▼ (-0.42)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.27)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 66.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.29)
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.96%
Mauritius
0-1 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 12.71%