Friendlies 3
Oct 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Cambodia national football team

Hong Kong
3 - 0
Cambodia

Orr (29'), Camargo (35'), Soares Belitardo Junior (90+2')
Joy Yin Yu (18'), Camargo (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brak (9'), Ogawa (45+2')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Cambodia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambodia 3-2 Chinese Taipei
Friday, October 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cambodia had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cambodia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.

Result
Hong KongDrawCambodia
48.06% (-0.07 -0.07)26.65% (0.274 0.27)25.29% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.3% (-0.947 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (-1.143 -1.14)56.76% (1.137 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.925 -0.93)77.71% (0.92 0.92)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)23.66% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (-0.759 -0.76)57.76% (0.753 0.75)
Cambodia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (-0.813 -0.81)38.03% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2% (-0.793 -0.79)74.8% (0.789 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 48.06%
    Cambodia 25.29%
    Draw 26.64%
Hong KongDrawCambodia
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.187 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 1pm
Friendlies 3
Cambodia
1-1
Hong Kong
Sophanat (90')
Bunnath (20'), Sophanat (90+6')
Camargo (21')
Orr (30'), Russell (45+4')