International Friendlies
Sep 8, 2024 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Churchill Park

Hong Kong vs Fiji - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 8.00am
Solomon Islands 0 - 3 Hong Kong

Fiji

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 2, 2024 8.00am
Fiji 1 - 0 Solomon Islands

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fiji win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Hong Kong 59.12% (+0.72)
Draw 21.15% (-0.38)
Fiji 19.73% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.45% (+0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.09% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 39.9% (-1.27)
Over 3.5 37.73% (+1.30)
Under 3.5 62.26% (-1.30)
Over 4.5 20.35% (+1.00)
Under 4.5 79.65% (-1.00)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 86.8% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 13.19% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 60.08% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 39.91% (-1.26)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 33.81% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 29.52% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 70.48% (-0.44)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 59.12%
Draw 21.15%
Fiji 19.73%
Hong Kong
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 6.7% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 6.18% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.39% (+0.15)
4-0 @ 3.13% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.84% (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.37% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.27% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.15%
Fiji
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 19.73%