Friendlies 3
Sep 8, 2024 at 4am UK
Churchill Park
Fiji national football team

Hong Kong
1 - 1
Fiji

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-0 Solomon Islands
Monday, September 2 at 8am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Solomon Islands vs. Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fiji win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Hong KongDrawFiji
59.12% (0.711 0.71)21.15% (-0.379 -0.38)19.73% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.752 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (1.257 1.26)39.9% (-1.265 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (1.292 1.29)62.26% (-1.298 -1.3)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (0.61799999999999 0.62)13.19% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (1.246 1.25)39.91% (-1.253 -1.25)
Fiji Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.39400000000001 0.39)33.81% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.426 0.43)70.48% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 59.12%
    Fiji 19.73%
    Draw 21.15%
Hong KongDrawFiji
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.73%

rhs 2.0


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