Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Fiji had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fiji win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.