Solomon Islands national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 14, 2023 at 7am UK
Stade Numa Daly
New Caledonia national football team

Solomon Islands
1 - 0
New Caledonia

Le'ai (76', 77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Solomon Islands and New Caledonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-0 Vanuatu
Wednesday, October 11 at 3am in International Friendlies

New Caledonia

Last Game: P. New Guinea 1-3 New Caledonia
Wednesday, October 11 at 6am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New Caledonia had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a New Caledonia win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Solomon Islands in this match.

Result
Solomon IslandsDrawNew Caledonia
55.42% (1.759 1.76)22.82% (0.126 0.13)21.76% (-1.885 -1.89)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-2.916 -2.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-2.703 -2.7)44.72% (2.704 2.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (-2.66 -2.66)67.08% (2.661 2.66)
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)15.99% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.649 -0.65)45.31% (0.649 0.65)
New Caledonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-3.182 -3.18)34.59% (3.184 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-3.532 -3.53)71.31% (3.534 3.53)
Score Analysis
    Solomon Islands 55.42%
    New Caledonia 21.76%
    Draw 22.81%
Solomon IslandsDrawNew Caledonia
1-0 @ 10.14% (1.027 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.84 0.84)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.45 0.45)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.307 -0.31)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.177 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.16 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.76%