International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Pater Te Hono Nui
  • Roonui Tinirauarii 30' goal
  • Roonui Tinirauarii 76' goal
  • goal X. Makalu 33'

Tahiti vs New Caledonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tahiti

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 21, 2023 6.00am
Tahiti 0 - 2 New Caledonia

New Caledonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 21, 2023 6.00am
Tahiti 0 - 2 New Caledonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Tahiti 36.72% (+0.03)
Draw 24.85% (+0.07)
New Caledonia 38.42% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.01% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 44.98% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 32.66% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 67.33% (+0.30)

Tahiti Goals

Over 0.5 75.89% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.1% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 41.6% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 58.4% (+0.18)

New Caledonia Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 23.21% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 42.89% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 57.1% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Tahiti 36.72%
Draw 24.85%
New Caledonia 38.42%
Tahiti
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.96% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
New Caledonia
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.17% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.42%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2023 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pater Te Hono Nui
  • goal M. Xowi 69'
  • goal William Rokuad 88'