CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 15, 2024 at 9pm UK

Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi

Sint Maarten
0 - 8
Haiti

Richards (70')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Attys (2'), Pierrot (14', 25', 52'), Duke Lacroix (19'), Nazon (49', 58' pen.), Prunier (67')
Arcus (89')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Puerto Rico 2-1 Sint Maarten
Monday, October 14 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Haiti

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Haiti 5-3 Aruba
Tuesday, October 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 7.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
Sint Maarten	Draw	Haiti
7.69% ( 0.19)	12.46% ( 0.25)	79.85% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.11% (

-0.61)

26.88% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.66% (

-0.78)

47.34% (

0.78)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.09% (

-0.04)

42.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.78% (

-0.03)

79.21% (

0.03)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.78% (

-0.19)

5.21% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.39% (

-0.57)

20.61% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Sint Maarten 7.69%

Haiti 79.85%

Draw 12.46%

Sint Maarten	Draw	Haiti
2-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 7.69%	1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.46%	0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 9.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 8.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 7.1% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 6.01% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 4.19% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 3.55% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 1-6 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.35% Total : 79.85%