Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Haiti win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.