Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.