World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK

Wildey Turf

Barbados
1 - 3
Haiti

Reid-Stephen (73')
Brathwaite (33'), Bynoe (45')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Don Deedson (12'), Duke Lacroix (45+1'), Labissiere (84')
B (86')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Barbados and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Curacao 4-1 Barbados
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Haiti

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 85.72%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 4.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 0-4 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Barbados win it was 2-1 (1.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
Barbados	Draw	Haiti
4.76% ( 0.4)	9.52% ( 0.51)	85.72% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.46% (

-0.67)

24.54% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.68% (

-0.89)

44.31% (

0.89)

Barbados Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.34% (

0.96)

49.66% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.58% (

0.67)

84.42% (

-0.66)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.12% (

-0.24)

3.87% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.53% (

-0.79)

16.47% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Barbados 4.76%

Haiti 85.71%

Draw 9.52%

Barbados	Draw	Haiti
2-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.88% Total : 4.76%	1-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 9.52%	0-3 @ 11.01% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 8.95% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 7.71% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.16) 0-5 @ 5.82% ( -0.32) 1-5 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 0-6 @ 3.15% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.11) 1-6 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 0-7 @ 1.46% ( -0.14) 2-5 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.18% Total : 85.71%