Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 85.72%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 4.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 0-4 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Barbados win it was 2-1 (1.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.