Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 79.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-1 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.03%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.