Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.