CONCACAF Nations League
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-
Gerwin Lake
81'
-
Ronan Olivacce
90'+2'
-
Stiven Melchor Rua
34'
Sint Maarten vs Aruba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.66%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-0 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Sint Maarten
8.11%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
14.63%
▼
(-0.17)
Aruba
77.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
46.59%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.08%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
36.92%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
40.89%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
59.1%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 4.5
22.86%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 4.5
77.13%
▼
(-0.19)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5
50.55%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
49.45%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
15.73%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
84.27%
▲
(+0.17)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
92.17%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
7.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
72.23%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
27.77%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Sint Maarten
8.11%
Draw
14.63%
Aruba
77.24%
Sint Maarten
1-0
@
2.73%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 8.11%
2-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 8.11%
Draw
1-1
@
6.95%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 14.63%
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 14.63%
Aruba
0-2
@
12.55%
▲
(+0.02)
0-3 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.68%
0-6 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.04)
1-6 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.24%
0-3 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.68%
0-6 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.04)
1-6 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.24%