CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi
Aruba national football team

Sint Maarten
2 - 0
Aruba

Lake (81'), Olivacce (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Melchor Rua (34')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.66%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-0 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Sint MaartenDrawAruba
8.11% (-0.165 -0.17)14.63% (-0.167 -0.17)77.26% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 46.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.215 0.22)36.92% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89% (0.231 0.23)59.1% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)49.45% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.73% (-0.172 -0.17)84.27% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.17% (0.117 0.12)7.83% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.23% (0.30499999999999 0.3)27.77% (-0.308 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Sint Maarten 8.11%
    Aruba 77.24%
    Draw 14.63%
Sint MaartenDrawAruba
1-0 @ 2.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 2.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 8.11%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 14.63%
0-2 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 10.66% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.79% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.78% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 3.46% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68%
0-6 @ 1.47% (0.037 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.24%