Aruba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi
Puerto Rico national football team

Aruba
0 - 1
Puerto Rico


Bennett (34'), Bennett (34'), Lentink (37'), Lentink (37'), Perret Gentil (70'), Perret Gentil (70'), Paul (86'), Paul (86'), Ostiana (90+6'), Ostiana (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antonetti (73', 73')
Sulia (27'), Sulia (27'), Ortiz (88'), Ortiz (88'), Servania (90+4'), Servania (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Aruba and Puerto Rico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 2-0 Aruba
Friday, September 6 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Puerto Rico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 1-4 Haiti
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Aruba win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.

Result
ArubaDrawPuerto Rico
33.94% (0.929 0.93)23.29% (-0.055 -0.05)42.77% (-0.869 -0.87)
Both teams to score 63.51% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04% (0.57 0.57)37.96% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.78% (0.604 0.6)60.22% (-0.599 -0.6)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (0.78100000000001 0.78)22.38% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (1.157 1.16)55.87% (-1.15 -1.15)
Puerto Rico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.126 -0.13)18.19% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (-0.216 -0.22)49.19% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Aruba 33.94%
    Puerto Rico 42.77%
    Draw 23.29%
ArubaDrawPuerto Rico
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.116 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 42.77%