CONCACAF Nations League
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Walter Bennett
34'
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Walter Bennett
34'
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Matthew Lentink
37'
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Matthew Lentink
37'
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Tyron Perret Gentil
70'
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Tyron Perret Gentil
70'
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Nickenson Paul
86'
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Nickenson Paul
86'
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Rovien Ostiana
90'+6'
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Rovien Ostiana
90'+6'
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Rodolfo Sulia
27'
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Rodolfo Sulia
27'
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Leandro Antonetti
73'
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Leandro Antonetti
73'
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Cristian Ortiz
88'
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Cristian Ortiz
88'
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Jaden Servania
90'+4'
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Jaden Servania
90'+4'
Aruba vs Puerto Rico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Aruba win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
Result
Aruba
33.94%
▲
(+0.93)
Draw
23.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Puerto Rico
42.77%
▼
(-0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
63.51%
▲
(+0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 2.5
37.96%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 3.5
39.78%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 3.5
60.22%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
21.97%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 4.5
78.03%
▼
(-0.48)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
77.63%
▲
(+0.79)
Under 0.5
22.38%
▼
(-0.78)
Over 1.5
44.13%
▲
(+1.16)
Under 1.5
55.87%
▼
(-1.16)
Puerto Rico Goals
Over 0.5
81.81%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
18.19%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
50.81%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
49.19%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Aruba
33.94%
Draw
23.29%
Puerto Rico
42.77%
Aruba
2-1
@
7.78%
▲
(+0.12)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.94%
1-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.94%
Draw
1-1
@
10.38%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.29%
2-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.29%
Puerto Rico
1-2
@
8.85%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 42.77%
0-1 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 42.77%