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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Luton Town

West Brom
5 - 3
Luton

Fellows (7', 33'), Dike (30'), Styles (57', 61')
Ajayi (73'), Furlong (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alli (9', 88'), Clark (65')
Aasgaard (72'), Clark (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLuton Town
48.09% (0.279 0.28)26.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)25.83% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.266 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69% (-0.226 -0.23)54.3% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (-0.189 -0.19)75.69% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (0.044999999999995 0.04)56.2% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.36900000000001 -0.37)36.22% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.376 -0.38)73% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 48.09%
    Luton Town 25.83%
    Draw 26.08%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: West Brom vs Luton

West Bromwich Albion
27.7%
Draw
10.6%
Luton Town
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
West Brom
Chong (60')
Bell (90')
Maja (45+4')
Furlong (41'), Styles (55')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
2-3
West Brom
Morris (7'), Adebayo (10')
Dike (39'), Molumby (65'), Townsend (67')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
0-0
Luton
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
2-0
West Brom
Jerome (55'), Campbell (83')
Bell (36'), Campbell (86')

Ajayi (29'), Molumby (84'), Bartley (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
3-2
Luton
Naismith (5' og.), Robinson (36'), Grant (66')
Mowatt (29'), Zohore (90+4')
Cornick (70'), Ruddock (90+7')
Campbell (15'), Osho (74')
rhs 2.0


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