Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
3 - 1
Bristol City

Aasgaard (49'), Morris (59'), Jones (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tanner (52')
McCrorie (22'), Earthy (82'), Knight (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Luton
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Sunderland
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
35.22% ( 0.04)	27.72% ( 0.02)	37.07% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8% (

-0.05)

57.2% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94% (

-0.04)

78.06% (

0.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

30.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

67.11% (

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

-0.06)

29.68% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

-0.07)

65.73% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.21%

Bristol City 37.06%

Draw 27.71%

Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.21%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.06%