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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
3 - 1
Bristol City

Aasgaard (49'), Morris (59'), Jones (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tanner (52')
McCrorie (22'), Earthy (82'), Knight (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Luton
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Sunderland
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Bristol City

Luton have been much stronger at the back and will pose significant challenges to visitors Bristol City. Though the away side are in excellent form, their showings on the road have been subpar, and they may fall short against their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
35.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 27.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 37.07% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (-0.052 -0.05)57.2% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)78.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.68% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.73% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.21%
    Bristol City 37.06%
    Draw 27.71%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.06%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
28.1%
Draw
31.6%
Bristol City
40.4%
57
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-0
Luton
Twine (47')
Twine (58'), Dickie (85')

Morris (58')
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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