Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.