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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Sunderland

Bristol City
2 - 1
Sunderland

Dickie (55'), McCrorie (76')
Pring (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayenda (31')
Patterson (66'), Hjelde (80'), Anderson (89')
Hume (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Sunderland

Bristol City are going along nicely and are best placed to finish in one of the two remaining playoff places up for grabs, but they do have a testing run to finish the regular season. Sunderland have nothing to play for apart from preparing for the playoffs, and will want to put on a good showing against one of their potential opponents, especially after defeat last weekend, and this could be a tight affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
49.77% (0.426 0.43) 26.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.08% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.388 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)55.82% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.244 -0.24)76.94% (0.241 0.24)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.063000000000002 0.06)22.48% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.094999999999999 0.09)56.04% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.552 -0.55)38.6% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.531 -0.53)75.35% (0.527 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 49.77%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 26.13%
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Sunderland

Bristol City
68.3%
Draw
14.6%
Sunderland
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
1-1
Bristol City
Roberts (90+3')
Rigg (68'), Roberts (86')
McNally (62')
Vyner (37'), McNally (44'), Mehmeti (83'), Pring (84'), Knight (90+2')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bristol City
1-0
Sunderland
Conway (20' pen.)
Conway (1'), Dickie (35'), Williams (70')

Bellingham (69'), Roberts (85'), Ballard (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Sunderland
1-1
Bristol City
Clarke (59')
Wells (90+3' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol City
2-3
Sunderland
Weimann (10'), Martin (51')
Williams (27'), Sykes (58')
Simms (4', 53'), Stewart (72')
Evans (1'), Cirkin (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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