Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
0 - 1
Swansea

Mepham (31'), Hume (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabango (58')
O'Brien (31'), Fulton (62'), Cabango (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Swansea City
60.55% ( -0.11)	22.26% ( 0.05)	17.2% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0.08)

48.71% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0.07)

70.82% (

0.08)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

-0.06)

15.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.33% (

-0.12)

44.67% (

0.12)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

0.03)

41.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

0.03)

78.27% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 60.54%

Swansea City 17.2%

Draw 22.25%

Sunderland	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 60.54%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 17.2%