Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.