Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Lewis O'Brien 4' goal
  • Harry Darling 22' goal
  • Josh Key 35' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Randell 21'
  • yellowcard Julio Pleguezuelo 72'

Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Liam Cullen

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Plymouth 2 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mustapha Bundu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result

Swansea City 67.88% (+1.37)
Draw 19.34% (-0.65)
Plymouth Argyle 12.77% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.6% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.98% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 45.02% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 32.63% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 67.37% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 16.53% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 83.47% (-0.81)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 87.75% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 12.25% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 62.04% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 37.96% (-1.54)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 54.24% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 45.76% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 18.46% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 81.54% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Swansea City 67.87%
Draw 19.34%
Plymouth Argyle 12.77%
Swansea City
2-0 @ 12.35% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.65% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 6.76% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 4.54% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 3.55% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.91% (+0.17)
5-1 @ 1.49% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.34%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 12.77%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Home Park
  • Mustapha Bundu 79' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Key 20'
  • goal Jay Fulton 44'
  • goal Liam Cullen 60'
  • yellowcard Myles Peart-Harris 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Zan Vipotnik 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Ben Cabango 22' yellowcard
  • Oliver Cooper 71' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 18'
  • yellowcard Conor Hazard 71'
  • yellowcard Darko Gyabi 76'
  • yellowcard Mickel Miller 82'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Luke Cundle 18' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 55' yellowcard
  • Kaine Kesler 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 56'
  • goal Oliver Cooper 68'
  • goal Josh Key 90'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Hardie 89' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 6'
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea City FC Youth Academy Training Centre
  • Daniel Williams 29' goal
  • Ryan Manning 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bennett 51' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 79' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 86' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 90' goal
  • goal Rhys Shirley 63'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 20, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Hardie 47' goal
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 23'
  • goal Kyle Naughton 32'