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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Watford logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Watford

McCrorie (24'), Wells (29')
Earthy (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doumbia (80')
Kayembe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Watford has a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
54.08% (-0.528 -0.53)24.69% (0.351 0.35)21.23% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-1.156 -1.16)53.01% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.994 -0.99)74.6% (0.995 1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)19.55% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-1.072 -1.07)51.46% (1.073 1.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2% (-0.476 -0.48)39.79% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.442 -0.44)76.46% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 54.07%
    Watford 21.23%
    Draw 24.69%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Watford

Bristol City
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
1-0
Bristol City
Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')

Twine (72'), Pring (87')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm