Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
1 - 3
Derby

Armstrong (70')
Fellows (53')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Adams (7'), Yates (30'), Mendez-Laing (87')
Harness (10'), Phillips (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 2-0 West Brom
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Luton
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Derby County
60.76% ( 1.03)	22.45% ( -0.32)	16.78% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.21)

50.16% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.19)

72.13% (

-0.19)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

0.42)

16.07% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.54% (

0.77)

45.45% (

-0.77)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.8% (

-0.74)

43.2% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.54% (

-0.63)

79.46% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 60.76%

Derby County 16.78%

Draw 22.45%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 60.76%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.45%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.78%