/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwbalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Tom Fellows
53'
-
Adam Armstrong
70'
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Ebou Adams
7'
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Marcus Harness
10'
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Jerry Yates
30'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
87'
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Nat Phillips
90'+4'
West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Ftony-mowbray.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
West Bromwich Albion
60.76%
▲
(+1.03)
Draw
22.45%
▼
(-0.33)
Derby County
16.78%
▼
(-0.70)
Both Teams to Score:
47.67%
▼
(-0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.83%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
50.16%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
27.87%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
72.13%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 4.5
13.23%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
86.77%
▼
(-0.13)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5
83.93%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 0.5
16.07%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 1.5
54.54%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 1.5
45.45%
▼
(-0.77)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
56.8%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 0.5
43.2%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
20.54%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
79.46%
▲
(+0.64)
Score analysis
West Bromwich Albion
60.76%
Draw
22.45%
Derby County
16.78%
West Bromwich Albion
1-0
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 60.76%
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 60.76%
Draw
1-1
@
10.65%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.45%
0-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.45%
Derby County
0-1
@
5.83%
▼
(-0.18)
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 16.78%
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 16.78%
Louie Sibley
90'+1'