Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.