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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
West Brom logo

Norwich
1 - 0
West Brom

Sargent (90+2')
Sargent (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Norwich
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
46.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02)23.89%29.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.17% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)42.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)65.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)63.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.75%
    West Bromwich Albion 29.36%
    Draw 23.88%
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Norwich vs West Brom

Norwich City
61.5%
Draw
13.5%
West Bromwich Albion
25.0%
52
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
2-2
Norwich
Holgate (11'), Maja (43')
Furlong (39')
Marcondes (20'), Heggem (41' og.)
Ben Slimane (51'), Fisher (66')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Norwich
2-0
West Brom
Sargent (13'), Rowe (71')
Stacey (90')

Bartley (17'), Wallace (79')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
West Brom
1-0
Norwich

Sainz (30')
Sainz (33')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
West Brom
2-1
Norwich
Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
Sargent (41')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
O'Shea (9')
rhs 2.0


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