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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
West Brom logo

Norwich
1 - 0
West Brom

Sargent (90+2')
Sargent (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Norwich
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With only Leeds United boasting a better attacking record on home soil in the Championship, Norwich should be confident of putting a few strikes past a West Brom outfit who struggle away from The Hawthorns. Mowbray is still working out his strongest XI given the array of forward options at his disposal, with the visitors likely to suffer defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
46.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 23.89%29.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.17% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)42.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)65.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)63.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.75%
    West Bromwich Albion 29.36%
    Draw 23.88%
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Norwich vs West Brom

Norwich City
61.5%
Draw
13.5%
West Bromwich Albion
25.0%
52
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
2-2
Norwich
Holgate (11'), Maja (43')
Furlong (39')
Marcondes (20'), Heggem (41' og.)
Ben Slimane (51'), Fisher (66')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Norwich
2-0
West Brom
Sargent (13'), Rowe (71')
Stacey (90')

Bartley (17'), Wallace (79')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
West Brom
1-0
Norwich

Sainz (30')
Sainz (33')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
West Brom
2-1
Norwich
Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
Sargent (41')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
O'Shea (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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