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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Coventry City

Luton
1 - 0
Coventry

Baptiste (90')
Walsh (65'), Morris (69'), Jones (86')
Walsh (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Binks (45+5'), Collins (58'), Sheaf (69'), Grimes (84'), Eccles (86')
Dasilva (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Coventry
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Coventry City

Both sides need the points this weekend, but we think that Luton will claim a precious three points in their battle against the drop. The Hatters have been in good form of late, and Coventry do not travel all that well, as demonstrated last weekend against Plymouth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCoventry City
35.47% (0.1 0.1) 26.72% (-0.026 -0.03) 37.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (0.126 0.13)53.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (0.105 0.11)74.81% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.122 0.12)28.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (0.152 0.15)64.55% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)27.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)62.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.47%
    Coventry City 37.81%
    Draw 26.71%
Luton TownDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Luton vs Coventry

Luton Town
53.6%
Draw
16.1%
Coventry City
30.4%
56
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Coventry
3-2
Luton
Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')
Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')
May 27, 2023 4.45pm
Coventry
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)
Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Lockyer (1')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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