Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Coventry

Baptiste (90')
Walsh (65'), Morris (69'), Jones (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Binks (45+5'), Collins (58'), Sheaf (69'), Grimes (84'), Eccles (86')
Dasilva (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Coventry
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
35.47% ( 0.1)	26.72% ( -0.03)	37.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.13)

53.25% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.11)

74.81% (

-0.1)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

0.12)

28.72% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

0.15)

64.55% (

-0.15)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

0.02)

27.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

0.02)

62.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.47%

Coventry City 37.81%

Draw 26.71%

Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.81%