Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Benin
1 - 1
Nigeria

Tijani (16')
Dandjinou (76'), (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osimhen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Benin had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Benin	Draw	Nigeria
28.28% ( -1.65)	28.93% ( -0.38)	42.78% ( 2.03)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.04% (

0.68)

62.96% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

0.49)

82.43% (

-0.49)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

-0.95)

38.93% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

-0.91)

75.66% (

0.9)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

1.49)

29.2% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

1.8)

65.14% (

-1.8)

Score Analysis

Benin 28.28%

Nigeria 42.77%

Draw 28.93%

Benin	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.28%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.93%	0-1 @ 13.99% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.49% Total : 42.77%