World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Olympique de Nouakchott

Mauritania
0 - 2
Congo DR

Lekweiry (45+2'), Ndiaga Yade (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pickel (3'), Mayele (83')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mauritania and Congo DR.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 2-2 Mauritania
Saturday, March 22 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Congo DR

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 37.5%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 1-2 (6.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.06%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (13.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Congo DR
29.39% ( -0.02)	33.11% ( -0.1)	37.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 34.21% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

26.08% (

0.22)

73.92% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

10.36% (

0.13)

89.64% (

-0.13)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.52% (

0.12)

44.48% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.49% (

0.09)

80.51% (

-0.09)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.62% (

0.22)

38.38% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87% (

0.21)

75.13% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 29.38%

Congo DR 37.49%

Draw 33.1%

Mauritania	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 29.38%	0-0 @ 17.06% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 33.1%	0-1 @ 16.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.49%