Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya

Mauritania
1 - 0
Cape Verde

Soueid (45+4')
Mouhsine (61'), Ngom (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (34'), Pina (47'), Arcanjo (90+1'), Arcanjo (90+1')
Pina (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-1 Egypt
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Cape Verde
32.88% ( 0.26)	28.57% ( 0.11)	38.54% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.44% (

-0.36)

60.55% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

-0.27)

80.66% (

0.27)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.87% (

-0.01)

34.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.01)

70.81%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-0.41)

30.45% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

-0.48)

66.66% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 32.88%

Cape Verde 38.53%

Draw 28.56%

Mauritania	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.88%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.53%