Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.38%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match.