World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 21, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
  • Theo Bongonda 45'+3' goal
  • Arthur Masuaku 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Gama 40'

Congo DR vs South Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 9, 2024 5.00pm
Congo DR 1 - 0 Togo

South Sudan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 2.00pm
South Sudan 0 - 3 Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.38%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match.

Result

Congo DR 72.67% (+0.11)
Draw 18.98% (-0.07)
South Sudan 8.34% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.94% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.07% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.92% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.79% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 76.21% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 10.6% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.4% (-0.06)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 86.17% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 13.83% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 58.81% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 41.19% (-0.13)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 39.38% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 60.61% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 9.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 90.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Congo DR 72.66%
Draw 18.98%
South Sudan 8.34%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 16.58% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 16.4% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.81% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 72.66%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.04)
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.98%
South Sudan
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 8.34%