Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 15, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Juba Stadium
  • Yohanna Paulino Juma 21' goal
  • Alfred Leku 69' yellowcard
  • Rashid Okocha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Denis Omedi 15'
  • goal Alfred Leku 66' (OG)

South Sudan vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
Uganda 1 - 0 South Sudan

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
Uganda 1 - 0 South Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Uganda in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result

South Sudan 18.16% (-0.04)
Draw 29.72% (-0.01)
Uganda 52.13% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.93% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 28.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 71.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 12.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.88% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 4.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 95.78% (+0.01)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 45.95% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 54.04% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 12.7% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 87.3% (+0.04)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 71.65% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.34% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.92% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.08% (-0.03)

Score analysis

South Sudan 18.16%
Draw 29.7%
Uganda 52.12%
South Sudan
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.16%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.31%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 29.7%
Uganda
0-1 @ 19.31% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 12.17% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.12%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mandela National Stadium
  • Bevis Mugabi 47' goal
  • Khalid Aucho 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Athir Thomas Magor Abdo Gaber 44'
  • yellowcard Rashid Okocha 73'