Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Mandela National Stadium

Uganda
1 - 0
South Sudan

Mugabi (47')
Aucho (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas Magor Abdo Gaber (44'), Okocha (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 2-0 Congo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 South Africa
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result
Uganda	Draw	South Sudan
60.13% ( -0.27)	23.6% ( 0.19)	16.27% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 43.45% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.71% (

-0.55)

55.29% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.49% (

-0.45)

76.51% (

0.45)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88% (

-0.3)

18.12% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93% (

-0.51)

49.07% (

0.51)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.07% (

-0.22)

46.93% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.56% (

-0.17)

82.43% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Uganda 60.13%

South Sudan 16.27%

Draw 23.59%

Uganda	Draw	South Sudan
1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.13%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.59%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.27%