Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Al Salam Stadium

South Africa
3 - 0
South Sudan

Rayners (7'), Maswanganyi (22'), Mokoena (50' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-2 South Africa
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 83.58%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 3.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.68%) and 1-0 (14.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.83%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	South Sudan
83.58% ( 0.05)	12.51% ( -0.04)	3.91% ( -0)

Both teams to score 28.31% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.05% (

0.18)

45.95% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

0.17)

68.26% (

-0.17)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.56% (

0.05)

8.44% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.69% (

0.13)

29.31% (

-0.13)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

30.92% (

0.1)

69.07% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.37% (

0.04)

94.63% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

South Africa 83.56%

South Sudan 3.91%

Draw 12.51%

South Africa	Draw	South Sudan
2-0 @ 17.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 14.68% 1-0 @ 14.41% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 83.56%	0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 12.51%	0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.91%